England vs Italy 11.06.2022

England will be looking to exact some on Italy who beat them in the finals of the Euro 2020 when they host them in Wembley on matchday 3 of the Nations League. The Three Lions have had a slow start to the tournament, losing the opener to Hungary before earning a point with a late equaliser against Germany last time out

Italy meantime have finally gotten back on the win column after a stretch of disappointing results following that Euro triumph. Roberto Mancini’s young charges defeated Hungary 2-1 in their last match after also holding Germany to a 1-1 draw in their opener.

We expect a very tight start to the game between these two great rivals. We however expect them to be even at the break

Main tip: 1st Half Draw (go to tip details)

Check out our newly published UEFA Nations League predictions featuring upcoming games from the competition

Head-to-Head stats England vs Italy

We look at the last 10 meetings between these teams.

• Italy have 5 wins, England just 1 and 4 matches were drawn
• These matches scored an average of 1.90 goals per match
• The last meeting ended 1-1 at fulltime before Italy proceeded to win on penalties

Latest results England

• 3 wins and 1 draw and a loss in their last 5 matches
• 16 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average of 3.20 goals per match
• They drew 1-1 with Germany in their last match

Latest results Italy

• 2 wins, a draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
• Just 7 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average of 1.40 goals per match
• Beat Hungary 2-1 in their last match

UEFA Nations League Group A3 Standings and Latest Results

England: rank 4th – 2 matches – 0 wins – 1 draw – 1 loss – 1 point
Form Guide (most recent first): D-L-W-W-W

Italy: rank 1st – 2 matches – 1 win – 1 draw – 1 loss – 4 points
Form Guide (most recent first): W-D-L-W-L

Possible squad England

England: Pickford; Walker, Stones, Maguire; James, Rice, Philips; Mount; Sterling, Kane, Saka

Out: None

Coach: Gareth Southgate

Possible squad Italy

Italy: Donnarumma; Calabria, Mancini, Bastoni, Spinazzola; Barella, Jorginho, Christante; Raspadori, Belotti; Bernadeschi

Out: None

Coach: Roberto Mancini

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Our tip(s) and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

1) Bet on 1st Half Draw

1957bet offers competitive odds for the bet “1st Half Draw”
The odd of 2.05 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 49% chance that the opening half of this game will end in a draw

Odds comparison for 1st Half Draw

1957bet – odd 2.05
Betway – odd 2.05

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2) Bet on Correct Score 1-0

• England have kept a clean sheet in 7 of the last 10 home games
• Only one of their last 5 H2H against Italy ended in a loss
• Italy have struggled in front of goal with an average of just 1.40 goals a match in their last 5 matches

Odds for this bet

1xbet offers the competitive odds for “Correct Score 1-0”

The odd of 6.00 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 17% chance that the game will end with a correct score of 1-0 in favor of England

Odds comparisons for Correct Score 1-0

1xbet – odd 6.00
Betway – odd 5.75

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