Novak Djokovic vs Tommy Paul 27.01.2023
Top seed Novak Djokovic has seemingly shaken off the knock he had at the start of the Australian Open and has been in imperious form, especially over the last two rounds. He totally dominated Andrey Rublev in the quarterfinals, dropping just 7 games to a top-10 player on his way to a 6-1 6-2 6-4 straight sets win. The Serbian is a man on a mission. He was barred from the tournament last year due to Covid protocols and he is one match away from getting a chance to make up for it.
Tommy Paul cut short his compatriot Ben Shelton’s impressive run when they met in their quarterfinal match a couple of days ago, winning in four sets, 7-6 6-3 5-7 6-4. The early elimination of top players like Casper Ruud, Matteo Berrettini, and Alexander Zverev created a void that the American has stepped in to fill in style. He is the first American to reach the semis of the Aussie Open since Andy Roddick, who lost to Roger Federer in the 2009 semifinals of the competition. He will look to eclipse that by trying to reach his first-ever grand slam final but that’s a tough ask given who is on the other side of the net.
This is easily the tie of the round as it is expected to provide some fireworks. Although Djokovic has completely obliterated his opponents thus far, the 25-year-old American is expected to test him to the limits. He has pulled some upsets lately, including winning four of his last six matches against top 5 players, notably Nadal and Carlos Alcaraz. We feel the 1st set is probably going to be the most competitive with both players coming out of the gate firing. We fancy at least 10 games to be played.
Tip: Set 1 – Over 9.5 Games
Head-to-Head stats Novak Djokovic vs Tommy Paul
0-0. This will be their first encounter at any level
Latest results Novak Djokovic
- Won the last 5 straight matches
- 10-0 win-loss record this season
- He defeated Andrey Rublev 6-1 6-2 6-4 in his last match
Latest results Tommy Paul
- Also won his last 5 straight matches
- 6-1 win-loss record this season
- He defeated Ben Shelton 6-6 6-3 5-7 6-4 in his last match
ATP Rankings
- Ranking from: Fri, 27.01.2023
- Novak Djokovic: # 5
- Tommy Paul: # 35
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Our tip and odds in detail
According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:
Bet on Set 1 – Over 9.5 Games
1xBet offers the best odds for the bet “Set 1 – Over 9.5 Games”
The odd of 2.30 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 43% chance that there will be at least 10 games played in 1st set of this match
Odds comparison for Set 1 – Over 9.5 Games
1xBet – odd 2.30
Betway – odd 2.28
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