FC Porto vs Inter Milan 14.03.2023

Portuguese champions Porto left it late at the weekend but still secured a 3-2 win over Estoril. They are in a fight for their lives as they remain 8 points behind Benfica in their quest to defend their title. They now turn their attention back to the Champions League where they are also under pressure after losing this last-16 first leg 1-0 away in Milan a couple of weeks ago. The omens aren’t quite in their favor here as they have lost 6 of the last 7 UCL knockout ties that they trailed from the 1st leg. They will nevertheless not go down without a fight here.

Like the hosts, Inter Milan are also playing second fiddle domestically. They are however a whopping 18 points behind runaway leaders Napoli after they lost 2-1 at strugglers Spezia on Friday. Simone Inzaghii was clearly pissed with that loss and he will be pushing his charges to respond by building on their 1-0 advantage from the 1st leg here.  The Nerazurri lost away to Bayern in the group stage and will certainly be a hard nut to crack here

This is likely to be a closely contested affair. The tie is still hanging in the balance after the first leg. Both teams are going to throw everything they have here in a bid to claim that ticket to the last-8. As such we expect a physical encounter that is likely to yield quite a few bookings either way

Main tip: Over 4.5 Bookings (go to tip details)

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Head-to-Head stats FC Porto vs Inter Milan

Both teams have met 6 times:

• Inter Milan has 4 wins. FC Porto won 1, while 1 match were drawn
• These matches scored an average of 3.20 goals per match
• Their last game ended 1-0 in favor of Inter Milan

Latest results FC Porto

• They have 5 Straight wins in their last 5 matches
• 8 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.60 goals per match
• They Won 1-0 against Rio Ave in their last match

Latest results Inter Milan

• They have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
• 7 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average of 1.40 goals per match
• They won 3-1 against Udinese in their last match

Path to Champions League 1/8 Finals and Latest Results

FC Porto (Grp B): ranked 1st – 6 matches – 4 wins – 0 draw – 2 losses – 12 points
Form Guide (most recent first): W-W-W-W-W

Inter Milan (Grp C): ranked 2nd – 6 matches – 3 wins – 1 draw – 2 losses – 10 points
Form Guide (most recent first): W-D-W-W-W

1st Leg Result: Inter Milan 1-0 Porto

Possible squad FC Porto

FC Porto: Costa; Mario, Pepe, Marcano, Wendell; Franco, Grujic, Eustaquito, Pepe; Taremi, Martinez

Out: Uribe (Muscle injury), Evanilson (Calf injury), Cardoso (Calf injury), Veron (Ankle injury), Otavio (Thigh injury), Galeno (Muscle injury)

Coach: Sergio Conceicao

Possible squad Inter Milan

Inter Milan: Handanovic; Darmian, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Brozovic, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Dzeko, Lukaku

Out: Correa (Thigh injury)

Coach: Simone Inzaghi

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Our tip(s) and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

1) Bet on Over 4.5 Bookings

1xBet offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 4.5 Bookings”
The odd of 1.70 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 59% chance that there will be at least 5 bookings in this match

Odds comparison for Over 4.5 Bookings

1xBet – odd 1.70
Bet365- odd 1.70

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2) Bet on First Half – Draw

• Inter Milan have not loss in their last 5 home games
• Inter Milan won their last two head to head

Betway offers competitive odds for the bet “First Half – Draw”
The odd of 2.10 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 48% chance that the opening half of this game will end in a stalemate.

Odds comparison for First Half – Draw

Betway – odd 2.10
10Bet – odd 2.05

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