Hungary vs Italy 26.09.2022

Hungary have upset the odds in this group. They lead the group with 10 points after 5 rounds of matches ahead of much-fancied opponents, European powerhouses Germany, Italy and England. Two signature wins at home and away against England and Germany have shown that they are not the pushovers they were thought to be. They will be looking to underline confirm this here.

Euro 2021 Champions Italy have fallen off a cliff since winning the tournament. They are third in the group with just one win from their 4 group games. The shocking World Cup qualification exit at the hands of minnows North Macedonia followed by the embarrassing 5-2 loss to Germany illustrates the depths to which Roberto Mancini’s team has fallen. They did beat Hungary for their only group win though and will be looking to replicate that performance here.

The Hungarians have proven to be a hard nut to crack. Italy will be desperate to arrest the slide down the slippery slope. As such we expect a close start to this game with neither team willing to cede too much ground and we are backing the two teams to be level at the break.

Main tip: 1st Half Draw (go to tip details)

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Head-to-Head stats Hungary vs Italy

Looking at the last 8 matches between these teams:

• Italy dominates with 5 wins, Hungary have 1 win and 2 matches ended in a draw
• These matches scored an average of 3.75 goals per match
• Italy won the last meeting 2-1

Latest results Hungary

• 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
• 8 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.60 goals per match
• Upset Germany 1-0 away in their last match

Latest results Italy

• 2 wins, 2 draws, and a loss in their last 5 matches
• Just 6 goals were scored in their last 5 matches. Average of 1.20 goals per match
• Beat England 1-0 in their last match

UEFA Nations League Group A3 Standings and Latest Results

Hungary: rank 1st – 5 matches – 3 wins – 1 draw – 1 loss – 10 points
Form Guide (most recent first): W-W-D-L-W

Italy: rank 3rd – 5 matches – 2 wins – 2 draws – 1 loss – 8 points
Form Guide (most recent first): W-L-D-W-D

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Possible squad Hungary

Hungary: Dibusz; Lang, Orban, Szalai; Fiola, Schafer, Styles, Nagy; Szoboszlai, Sallai; Szalai

Out: None

Coach: Marco Rossi

Possible squad Italy

Italy: Donnarumma; Bastoni, Acerbi, Emerson, Di Lorenzo; Barella, Jorginho, Pelllegrini; Raspadori, Politano; Immobile

Out: None

Coach: Roberto Mancini

Our tip(s) and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

1) Bet on 1st Half Draw

1xBet offers competitive odds for the bet “1st Half Draw”
The odd of 2.20 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 45% chance that the opening half of this game will end in a stalemate

Odds comparison for 1st Half Draw

1xBet – odd 2.20
Betway – odds 2.16

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2) Bet on HC +2 Hungary Win

• Hungary have not lost by more than a goal in their last 11 straight games
• They are in great form; won 5 of their last 8 games

Odds for this bet

BC.Game has competitive odds for “HC +2 Hungary Win”

The odd of 1.44 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 69% chance that Hungary will maintain a 2-goal headstart by either winning, drawing or not losing by more than one goal.

Odds comparisons for HC +2 Hungary Win

BC. Game – odd 1.44
1Xbet – odd 1.42

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